Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 13.368274 14.958783 16.680369 18.685077 20.958827 23.461618 26.430662
2025-06-01 10.835510 12.975158 15.469658 18.604227 22.454042 27.048446 32.977356
2025-06-08 9.093613 11.524912 14.542366 18.588868 23.913115 30.734068 40.221767
2025-06-15 8.054496 10.724316 14.224128 19.195665 26.153332 35.658713 49.824071
2025-06-22 7.009202 9.732646 13.473735 19.059095 27.308324 39.235941 58.140543
2025-06-29 6.098509 8.781823 12.620979 18.608801 27.884797 41.995322 65.641995
2025-07-06 5.420153 8.064092 11.988333 18.356803 28.663390 45.094360 74.100802
2025-07-13 5.059554 7.766722 11.929106 18.948913 30.804847 50.598367 87.395872
2025-07-20 4.752479 7.508978 11.888015 19.543028 33.000740 56.472206 102.320305
2025-07-27 4.423637 7.174560 11.676505 19.809053 34.644260 61.589231 116.718316
2025-08-03 4.047926 6.719668 11.209463 19.562625 35.317122 65.006757 128.387690
2025-08-10 3.709851 6.292569 10.740954 19.248059 35.803645 68.109849 139.925683
2025-08-17 3.406186 5.903319 10.311815 18.979873 36.393130 71.603011 153.199280
2025-08-24 3.153618 5.581179 9.971180 18.840650 37.224617 75.730250 168.750148
2025-08-31 2.940331 5.309924 9.696046 18.795123 38.241019 80.408108 186.559992
2025-09-07 2.826350 5.212766 9.738891 19.393012 40.703192 88.648794 214.801017
2025-09-14 2.638064 4.954648 9.441731 19.246339 41.508304 93.244000 234.798457
2025-09-21 2.435676 4.650180 9.022023 18.786776 41.537513 96.005796 250.528945
2025-09-28 2.273821 4.411806 8.712630 18.529837 41.997292 99.878362 270.177246
2025-10-05 2.206183 4.358729 8.781225 19.126869 44.587716 109.552687 308.864803
2025-10-12 2.142434 4.307562 8.847965 19.726470 47.272870 119.949110 352.384281
2025-10-19 2.055094 4.198497 8.778318 19.994888 49.154336 128.510653 392.369126
2025-10-26 1.934140 4.006657 8.507874 19.745720 49.643405 133.268590 421.096851